Q1 Schedule Reliability Climbed Higher in 2019 Than in 2018

April 30, 2019

 |  Insights

CargoSmart analyzes schedule reliability each month to provide shippers and logistics service providers with insights about their ocean carriers’ performance. We reviewed the schedule reliability of 20 ocean carriers across 25 trade lanes for the first quarter of 2019.

Overall, the average schedule reliability for the first quarter of 2019 was 65.8%. The on-time schedule reliability decreased from 66.1% in January 2019 to 63.6% in February 2019, and then rose back to 67.6% in March 2019.

Comparing 2019 and 2018, the monthly reliability was higher in the first quarter of 2019 compared to the first quarter of 2018. The results are shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Monthly schedule reliability from January 2018 to March 2019

Intra South America Routes Had the Highest Schedule Reliability in Q1

Next, we reviewed schedule reliability on 25 trade lanes. Overall, Intra South America, Intra Oceania, and Asia-Oceania had the highest schedule reliability in the first quarter of 2019, with average reliability of 92.1%, 89.3% and 82.4% respectively.

With the exception of the Intra Africa trade lane with an average schedule reliability of 21.4% in the first quarter, each of the North America trade lanes had the lowest reliability for the first three months of 2019. Schedule reliability for the Transpacific, Transatlantic, and Intra North America trade lanes were 40.3%, 40.3% and 30.4% respectively.

Figure 2: Average schedule reliability by trade lane in Q1 2019

Despite North America routes having low reliability in the first quarter of 2019 due to a surge in imports and winter weather, the overall reliability for the quarter was an improvement compared to the first quarter of 2018.

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